Is This the Start of Altseason 2.0?
PLUS: Over 92% of BlackRock's BUIDL fund is tokenized on Ethereum
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welcome to a â free edition â of Altcoin Investing Picks, the most actionable crypto newsletter.
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In today's newsletter:
đĄ Is This the Start of Altseason 2.0?
đŁ US 30-Year Yield Hits Highest Since 2003 After Moodyâs Downgrade
đ Over 92% of BlackRock's BUIDL fund is tokenized on Ethereum
Letâs dive in!
đĄ Insight
Is This the Start of Altseason 2.0?
For the first time since Q4 2023, weâre seeing sustained rallies across altcoins and memecoins. And something critical just happened: BTC dominance may have peaked.
If this is the beginning of true altseason, thereâs still a long runway ahead.
Signals
Weâve been here before. And there are 5 key signs that tell us altseason might be loading:
Late-stage cycle dynamics. Risk starts rotating outward.
BTC dominance peaks. Historically around 65â70%âweâre hovering there now.
Shift from QT â QE. Liquidity wants out of bonds and into high-beta assets.
Rising ETH/BTC ratio. Smart money rotates before retail notices.
Retail reawakens. Weâre already seeing this in memes, Discords, and volume.
Right now, weâre still early. ETH/BTC is just 0.024. ETH is trading at a 46% discount from ATHs. The Fed is still doing QT.
But the 20% move ETH made last week rhymes with January 2021âwhen ETH jumped 68% in 7 days⌠and never looked back.
Back then, ETH/BTC ran from 0.03 â 0.07 in four months. ETH/USD followed with a 370% rally.
That spark lit the match for NFTs, metaverse tokens, DeFi 2.0, and alt L1s. Altseason went full send.
How Weâre Playing This
Weâre not aping into everything. But we are positioning nowâbefore retail floods in.
Hereâs our playbook:
â Avoiding BTC. It's unlikely to outperform from here. Focusing on ETH, SOL, etc.
â Targeting narratives (e.g. SUI, VIRTUALS), tokens with fundamentals (e.g. Raydium, Pendle)
â Leveraging memes (e.g. BONK, PEPE)
But Letâs Be Real â There Are Risks
This setup could break bullish. But if it doesnât, you need to be ready.
đ§ Key risks weâre watching:
BTC must make new highs
Rising yields: could weigh on valuations in crypto and equities.
Stablecoin legislation blocked
So noâweâre not âall in.â But the setup here is asymmetric: modest exposure with potentially outsized upside.
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đŁ Update
US 30-Year Yield Hits Highest Since 2003 After Moodyâs Downgrade
This is because investors now forecast a longer term term of elevated inflation.
Moodyâs announced Friday evening it was downgrading the US to Aa1 from Aaa, reinforcing Wall Streetâs growing worries over the nationâs fiscal outlook.
đ Signal
Over 92% of BlackRock's BUIDL fund is tokenized on Ethereum
Ethereum remains the undisputed leader in the RWA sector.
Are you buying ETH?
Take action đ
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