Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Neural Foundry's avatar

The productive vs distributive framework is a solid way to think about altseasson timing. Too many people get caught up in individual altcoin narratives and ignore what Bitcoin's doing, then wonder why their perfect setup gets crushed. The distributive phase especially is where retail gets wrecked, buying every dip thinking it's oversold when really it's just being agressively distributed. One thing I'd add is that volume patterns matter a lot during these phases. High volume on red days during distributive action is a huge red flag. The Hedera ETF launch timing is interesting given this framework, launching into what looks like a choppy period for BTC. Could create some short term pain but maybe better for longer term hodlers who can accumulte at lower prices.

Expand full comment

No posts