Why Altcoins Are Losing to Bitcoin in the Most Institutional Cycle Ever
PLUS: Ethereum Just Flipped Visa and Mastercard
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In today's newsletter:
💡 Why Altcoins Are Losing to Bitcoin in the Most Institutional Cycle Ever
📣 Robinhood is Coming to Indonesia
📈 Ethereum Just Flipped Visa and Mastercard
Let’s dive in!
💡 Insight
Why Altcoins Are Losing to Bitcoin in the Most Institutional Cycle Ever
In case you missed it, Glassnode and Fasanara just dropped one of the most data-rich institutional crypto reports of the year.
We went through all 35 pages and pulled out the charts and shifts you need to understand where the market is heading next — and where the smart money is rotating.
Let’s unpack it 👇
1. Bitcoin is Eating the Market – Again
Since the November 2022 bottom, Bitcoin is up +715%, hitting a $2.48T market cap. Altcoins? Up ~350%... and fading fast.
📉 Altcoin dominance is down from 27% → 21%
📈 Bitcoin dominance is at 58.3% — the highest since 2021
💵 Stablecoins are growing, but less speculative — dollarization > degen
👉 Narrative takeaway: Institutions want liquidity, regulation, and brand. Bitcoin delivers. Your favorite midcap alt might not.
2. Capital Is Concentrated, Not Rotating
Glassnode shows that Bitcoin absorbed up to $190B/month in fresh capital, while Ethereum and altcoins saw minimal flows.
This is not your 2020–2021 cycle. Capital is staying parked in BTC, ETFs, and stablecoins. There’s no altcoin season — yet.
3. ETFs Changed Everything (And It’s Just Starting)
Since the launch of spot BTC ETFs in January 2024:
1.36M BTC now held in U.S. ETFs (~6.9% of total supply)
ETFs are responsible for 5% of all Bitcoin inflows (in just 22 months)
BlackRock’s IBIT alone did $6.9B in daily volume during the October liquidation event
🧠 Implication: ETF inflows are crowding out on-chain speculation. Retail is getting onboarded via Fidelity, not MetaMask.
4. Altcoins Are Missing in Action
📉 Ethereum’s dominance fell to 12.1%
📉 No new “alt season” patterns emerging
📉 VC activity tracks altcoins, and it’s drying up — except for Polymarket ($2B)
There’s a flight to safety — BTC, USDC, ETFs, even tokenized U.S. Treasuries.
5. Stablecoins Now Run the Show
$263B in stablecoin supply (new ATH) — mostly USDT and USDC
$225B/day in stablecoin transfers — they are the real on-chain liquidity layer
Stablecoins now power DeFi, CEXs, DEXs, everything
Play the stablecoin infrastructure trend. Look at protocols with real-world settlement, FX rails, or DeFi payment rails (e.g., THORChain, Kujira, Ethena, etc.).
6. Derivatives Show We’re in a Mature (But Leverage-Prone) Market
$67.9B in futures open interest (CME = 30%)
93% of volume comes from perpetuals — DEX perps now 20% of that!
Black Friday-style deleveraging wiped $640M/hour in longs on Oct 10th
But here’s the bullish part: Spot markets soaked it up. Buyers stepped in
TL;DR: What This Means for You
✅ Bitcoin is the big winner of institutionalization
✅ Altcoins are lagging but potentially setting up for selective rotations
✅ Watch stablecoins, tokenization, and DeFi infra that plugs into TradFi rails
✅ Don’t fade ETFs — they’re not noise, they’re the new smart money
📣 Update
Robinhood is Coming to Indonesia
Robinhood Markets, Inc. has entered into agreements to acquire PT Buana Capital Sekuritas, an Indonesian brokerage, and PT Pedagang Aset Kripto, a licensed Indonesian digital financial asset trader.
With more than 19 million capital market investors and 17 million crypto investors, Indonesia is a compelling market for equities and crypto trading.
📈 Signal
Ethereum Just Flipped Visa and Mastercard
Ethereum is now the world’s largest dollar settlement layer.
And no one on Wall Street is ready for what’s coming.
In Q4 alone, Ethereum processed nearly $6 trillion in stablecoin volume
That’s more than Visa or Mastercard — with a month still left in the quarter
Ethereum has officially become the de facto settlement layer for digital dollars
The scale of this dwarfs anything from the DeFi 1.0 cycle
What This Means
→ Dollar rails are going on-chain. Stablecoins are no longer just a DeFi play — they are now global money movement infrastructure.
→ ETH is undervalued as monetary infra. Not just a smart contract chain — it’s a real-time, permissionless global Fedwire.
→ Protocols building on this trend are riding a trillion-dollar wave.
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